Devastating correlations: NOAA Climate report shows all-time highs in Temps, C02, Glacier melt, Methane
(This is an opinion piece by the editor, but includes substantiated data from scientific research).
The energy chaos enveloping Europe in the wake of heat waves and the Russian invasion of Ukraine have many critics questioning whether the continent was irresponsible in making the shift away from fossil fuels too fast.
Same thing in Texas, where the quantum growth in wind energy sometimes does not fill in the gap at times of peak demand. More baseload, more flexible generation, energy transition critics say.
Valid challenges, but recent data from the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration shows that a much longer-term crisis is happening in the atmosphere, and greenhouse gas emissions are implicated in very tangible ways.
NOAA’s State of the Climate report indicates that even a persistent La Niña weather phenomenon, which historically depresses temperatures and cools down patterns, could not stop the relentless rise in heat-related climate events in the U.S. and around the world. The year 2021 was slightly cooler than recent years, thanks to La Niña somewhat, but still one of the seven warmest years on record since data was first accumulated in the 1880s. Read the full NOAA State of the Climate 2021 report by clicking here.
In fact, every year since 2015 comprises the seven hottest years on record. And those seven years of bad, hot luck coincide directly with the ever increasing amounts of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide and methane being released into the atmosphere, according to NOAA.
The annual global average carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration was measured at 414.7 parts per million, plus or minus 0.1 ppm, in 2021, the report reads. This is in increase of 2.6 ppm just in the past two years, showing that the emissions reduction achieved by COVID-19 shutdowns was short-lived. It is compared to less 350 ppm recorded in 1980, according to federal stats.
By contrast, the U.S. EPA standard on sulfur concentation in diesel fuel is 15 parts per million or less.
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NOAA’s data also shows that the growth rate for methane was the highest on record, while nitrous oxide levels also rose to record high atmospheric concentration levels.
One can argue that these are two different things that just happened to occur side by side, but that seems to be an awfully incredible coincidence. Global glacier mass receded for the 34th straight year, and the worldwide mean sea level rose to record high for the tenth straight year, topping 97 millimeters above the 1993 average.
Heat waves stressed residents and power grids around the world, including all-time measured highs in the normally placid Pacific Northwest. The always hot Furnace Creek in Death Valley, California, found a way to get even hotter, reaching 54.4 C (130 degrees Fahrenheit) and now sharing the hottest earthly temp measured since 1931.
Something is happening, Mr. Jones, and we can act like we don’t know what it is...but we do. A wise man once said the energy transition is not a race to renewables but to decarbonization, so the answer can also lay in more efficient buildings, lower emitting conventional power, green hydrogen development, carbon capture and nuclear, as well as solar, wind and energy storage.
Maybe the rush to appease ESG expectations has caused significant problems throughout Europe due to the catastrophe of war in Ukraine, but a clear and consistent line of data from our skies and oceans and air patterns is proving the point that something must be done and done as soon as possible.
The numbers are not on our side. And this also is a war against time.
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(Rod Walton, senior editor for EnergyTech, is a 14-year veteran of covering the energy industry both as a newspaper and trade journalist. He can be reached at [email protected]).
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